UN-HABITAT, United Nations Human Settlements Programme (2016) Climate change vulnerability assessment of Labutta Township Ayeyawady Region, Myanmar, 2016-2050: Scenarios for resilience building. United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-HABITAT), Nairobi.
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The study analyses current vulnerabilities, and by projecting changes in climate, anticipates further vulnerabilities in the future up to 2050. On this basis, it proposes scenarios that describe potential impact of climate change, and issues recommendations for adaptation to avoid the worst case future scenario. It also describes the expected outcomes and results, and prioritized activities that communities identified during the course of the assessment. The study projects changes in climate for the township, to a 25-kilometre spatial resolution. Projections show an increase in temperatures by as much as 2.3°C in 2050, with up to 17 more hot days per year. Rainfall patterns are also projected to change, with a possible increase in rainfall during a shorter rainy season, meaning more frequent heavy rainfall events. Strong winds and cyclones are also expected to increase, because of higher temperatures, more evaporation and a greater moisture level in the atmosphere. Finally, salinity is also a critical challenge. Labutta has two salt lines: A permanent salt line, below which the land and groundwater is saline, and a seasonal salt line, in which land and groundwater is saline in the dry season. These salt lines are moving north and east, affecting a greater number of people. The assessment projects up to approximately 40 centimetres of sea-level rise by 2050, which will increase the area of salt infiltration, and cause more frequent and more intense inundations and floods.
| Item Type: | Documents |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | Climate Change, Vulnerability, Assessment, Ayeyawady Region, Myanmar, Resilience Building, Rainfall Patterns, Temperature, Cyclone, Salinity, Floods |
| Subjects: | Disasters and Climate Change |
| Depositing User: | Users 4 not found. |
| Date Deposited: | 20 Dec 2021 09:31 |
| Last Modified: | 20 Dec 2021 09:31 |
| URI: | http://icsfarchives.net/id/eprint/5936 |
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